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Once you’ve added your historical data and found the epics or versions to forecast against, now you need to configure the forecast parameters. This document covers the following information to help:

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Note

Please note

  1. You can never be 100% certain. The only things you can be 100% certain about are the things that have already happened.

  2. The higher you make your certainty, the more padding your forecasts will have for many items because it is accounting for more less likely possibilities. So, if you go too high you might as well just look at how long it took to do the longest-running item as use that as a forecast for any given epic.

Concurrent items

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This advanced is a parameter lets you tell the simulation to spend a certain percentage of your daily effort (Throughput) on items not yet in progress. that lets you ask and answer the question “What if we were to work on a different number of items at one time?”

Use the dropdown to adjust how many items the simulation will treat as in progress. Generally speaking, the more epics or versions you’re working on at one time, the longer it takes to finish any one item. This has a cascading effect on future items.

Once you change your selection you’ll need to click “Save” in order for the changes to take effect. This will cause the simulation to be recalculated.

What other “What If?” questions might I answer with Portfolio Forecaster?

Advanced > Work ahead

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This advanced parameter lets you tell the simulation to spend a certain percentage of your daily effort (Throughput) on items not yet in progress.

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