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Table of Contents
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Parameter Box Views

The parameters that are available to set depend on if you have toggled on the ability to see epics or versions that haven’t yet started.

Epics in a workflow state that has a status category of 'In Progress' are shown with an

Status
titleIn Progress
lozenge and will appear when you have the Show not started setting toggled off.

Show not started toggled off

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Show not started toggled on

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Excerpt
Warningnote

Epics not showing as In Progress?

In your Jira workflow, each workflow status is assigned a status category: ‘To Do', ‘In Progress' or ‘Done'.  For every Epic we check it’s current workflow status and its status category to determine if the Epic is not yet started, in progress, or completed. If you want Epics to appear as

Status
titleIn Progress
, make sure you have transitioned them to an In Progress workflow status.

We don’t assume that just because an issue in the Epic is In Progress, that you want to consider the entire Epic as In Progress as there are some use cases where that wouldn’t be accurate. We prefer to have you be explicit about this.

Want your Epics to automatically move to an In Progress workflow status when you start an issue inside your Epic? Jira has automation features that make this possible.Read our FAQ on how we determine which Epics are In Progress and which aren’t

Forecast Parameters

Confidence level

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A forecast certainty is a reflection of your ability to absorb risk in your forecast. The Monte Carlo Simulations that we use to forecast run thousands of simulated trials using the data you configured in the Portfolio Forecaster.

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Note

Please note

  1. You can never be 100% certain. The only things you can be 100% certain about are the things that have already happened.

  2. The higher you make your certainty, the more padding your forecasts will have for many items because it is accounting for more less likely possibilities. So, if you go too high you might as well just look at how long it took to do the longest-running item as use that as a forecast for any given epic.

Concurrent items

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This is a parameter that lets you ask and answer the question “What if we were to work on a different number of items at one time?”

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Once you change your selection you’ll need to click “Save” in order for the changes to take effect. This will cause the simulation to be recalculated.

What other “What If?” questions might I answer with Portfolio Forecaster?

Show not started

This toggle not only provides additional parameters that make sense when you’re forecasting for work not yet started, but it also changes which epics or versions you see in the forecast table. When it is toggled off, you only see items in progress according to Jira. If you have the toggle on, you see all items that have remaining work.

Advanced > Work ahead

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This advanced parameter lets you tell the simulation to spend a certain percentage of your daily effort (Throughput) on items not yet in progress.

Ready to forecast?

Press Start the calculations button

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Next Step

Now you’re reading to use your forecast!